進行中

在組成政府之前,以色列會剛好舉行 1 次國會選舉嗎?

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52%

否 參考機率

機率走勢(最近 7 天)

0%20%40%60%80%100%10/2910/2910/2910/29
是49%彩池賠率 —買
否52%彩池賠率 —買

市場說明與結算規則

This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market. Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count. A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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