進行中

馬斯克在 2026 年 10 月 23 日至 10 月 30 日會發 340-359 則推文嗎?

0 點投注量|0 筆

69%

否 參考機率

機率走勢(最近 7 天)

0%20%40%60%80%100%10/2910/2910/2910/29
是31%彩池賠率 —買
否69%彩池賠率 —買

市場說明與結算規則

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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